REAL-TIME ORACLE · BINARY MARKET LAYER

Every flight
is a market.

Live aircraft telemetry, converted into 500,000+ tradable binary markets per day. Multi-tier delay outcomes per flight. Automated, deterministic resolution. No airline API dependency.

100K+
Flights tracked daily
5
Outcomes per flight
$450M+
Daily volume potential, US
PROBLEM · 01

Prediction markets are supply-constrained.

Elections and sports produce episodic demand. Markets spike, settle, and disappear. Aviation produces 100,000+ events every day, each settling as multiple binary contracts. The bottleneck is not demand. It's the oracle layer.

The infrastructure didn't exist until now — real-time aircraft telemetry, automated oracle attestation, and platform appetite for new contract types only converged in the last 18 months.

// TYPICAL MARKET SUPPLY
Episodic events
~12 binary events / week
M T W T F S S
// AVIATION MARKET SUPPLY
Continuous daily flow
~500,000 binary events / day
M T W T F S S
SOLUTION

The oracle layer for aviation markets.

Three capabilities, one integration. Plug Aviax into your market engine and ship flight markets in a sprint.

01 / THROUGHPUT

High-throughput market layer.

Real-time flight scheduling, T-minus probability scoring, and five tradable outcomes per flight — delayed by 15, 30, or 60 minutes, cancelled, or diverted. Spin up markets programmatically; retire them on resolution.

02 / RESOLUTION

Automated resolution.

Aircraft signal is the source of truth. No airline API dependency. Outcomes verify against deterministic, machine-readable windows. Zero manual adjudication.

03 / DATA ADVANTAGE

Built for resolution, not operations.

Legacy data providers are tuned for airline operations centers. Aviax is built ground-up for market settlement. Detection models train on an 8-year corpus of historical flight pattern data. The lead compounds: every settled market labels training data for the next.

HOW IT WORKS

Three steps. Live markets.

A single pipe from telemetry to settlement. Aviax handles ingest, detection, and resolution; your platform handles matching and UX.

STEP 01 · INGEST

Ingest telemetry

Live aircraft telemetry streams in continuously. Normalized into structured, market-ready events.

STEP 02 · DETECT

Score outcomes

Detection models score delay probabilities against live conditions and an 8-year corpus of historical flight patterns. Multi-tier outcomes computed per flight.

STEP 03 · RESOLVE

Auto-resolve on detection

Binary outcomes verify against deterministic windows. Settlement is automated. No disputes, no manual review.

PLATFORM VALUE

What this does for your platform.

10–100×
Active markets
Orders of magnitude more live contracts than any existing category.
24/7
Continuous volume
Flights depart every minute. Volume is no longer event-gated.
$30B+
Latent hedging market
Travel-risk hedging and parametric insurance, made tradable in real time.
Source: Allied Market Research, 2025
$450M+
Daily volume potential, US
Per-flight liquidity × US daily flight volume.
Projected at full platform integration
ONBOARDING · FIRST PLATFORM PARTNERS

Be the first platform with real-time flight markets.

We're onboarding launch partners now. Tell us where to send the integration deck.